Cramming for a Column
Roger Pielke Jr. notes Paul Krugman’s recent learning curve on Egypt. As I pointed out, it helps if you have the right tutor.
Roger Pielke Jr. notes Paul Krugman’s recent learning curve on Egypt. As I pointed out, it helps if you have the right tutor.
© 2024 Keith Kloor. All Rights Reserved.
Pielke is putting forth the typical nonsequitur. Show a graph of falling “GDP-deflated” grain prices over 60 years (largely due to agriculture efficiency improvements, although note the stall since the mid-80’s) and proclaim there’s no climate link to the recent spike, somewhat of a faith-based argument similar to that of Pat Robertson he cites. He mentions more use of corn for ethanol as a culprit without noting his graph shows a similar price increase for wheat. He does not care to cite the reasons why, which clearly includes the unprecedented heatwave in Russia. While I agree with him the link is tenuous and not necessarily the primary driver, no one is saying otherwise. I find Romm’s column to be considerably more rational than Pielke’s, which is based on a correlation/nonsequitur style of argument.
Romm:
Water scarcity, combined with soil erosion, climate change, the diversion of food crops to make biofuels, and a growing population, were all putting unprecedented pressure on the world’s ability to feed itself, according to Brown.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2011/feb/07/crop-shortages-political-instability
Romm. Rational. Hmm. Well, anything is possible.
“I find Romm’s column to be considerably more rational than Pielke’s, which is based on a correlation/nonsequitur style of argument.”
more rational = more inline with my particular beliefs.